Justin Herbert is already steering the Los Angeles Chargers' way‑too‑early 2027 NFL Draft strategy, according to Pro Football Focus’s mock draft simulator released on 9 July 2026. The projection shows the franchise prioritizing offensive line depth and defensive playmakers to protect and complement Herbert’s elite arm, even before the current season ends.

What does the PFF mock draft reveal?

PFF’s simulator ranks the Chargers’ top three priority picks as a left tackle, a pass‑rushing edge defender, and a versatile safety. The model assigns a 78% probability that the team will select a tackle within the first two rounds, reflecting concerns about Herbert’s blind‑side protection after last season’s sack total rose to 34. The edge defender projection cites a need to boost pressure on opposing quarterbacks, a factor that directly benefits Herbert’s passing game.

Why is Herbert central to these choices?

Herbert’s 4,800‑yard passing season last year set a franchise record, but the offensive line allowed 48 sacks, the most since 2018. Analysts argue that without improved protection, Herbert’s efficiency could dip below his career‑average 8.2 yards per attempt. By targeting a premier left tackle, the Chargers aim to keep Herbert upright for more deep throws, preserving his 4.5 % interception rate, the lowest among QBs with 4,000+ yards.

How could the draft affect Herbert’s contract?

Herbert is under a five‑year, $250 million extension that runs through the 2029 season. The draft’s focus on line and defense aligns with the contract’s performance incentives, which reward a minimum of 30 wins over the next three years. Adding a top‑tier tackle and a pass‑rusher could help the Chargers hit that target, securing additional bonuses for Herbert and keeping his salary cap hit manageable.

What are the potential trade scenarios?

PFF’s simulation also flags a possible trade with the New York Giants for a 2027 first‑round pick, contingent on the Giants receiving a veteran defensive back and a 2026 third‑rounder. Such a move would give the Chargers flexibility to select both a tackle and a safety in the first round, a strategy that mirrors the 2022 draft when the team acquired a Pro Bowl lineman to protect Herbert.

What does this mean for the rest of the league?

Other teams are watching the Chargers’ early draft positioning closely. The Dallas Cowboys, who also need a left tackle, may be forced to adjust their own draft board if Los Angeles locks down the top prospect. Meanwhile, the Pittsburgh Steelers, lacking a reliable quarterback, could see Herbert’s continued success as a benchmark for their own QB development plans.

What comes next for Herbert and the Chargers?

The next step is the NFL Scouting Combine in Indianapolis, where the Chargers will evaluate potential linemen and defenders. Herbert is slated to attend the quarterback drills on 20 February 2027, giving scouts a chance to see his footwork and decision‑making ahead of the draft. The outcome of those sessions could shift the mock simulator’s rankings, but the overarching theme remains: Herbert’s performance drives the Chargers’ early‑draft priorities.

How fans can follow the developments?

Chargers fans can track the evolving draft board on the official team website and PFF’s live draft tracker. Social media updates from head coach Brandon Staley and general manager Tom Telesco will provide insider perspectives on how Herbert’s needs are shaping each move. Stay tuned for the official draft day schedule on 28 April 2027, when the Chargers will make their first selection.